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Dr. Coats' Economic Blog - 2017

 

Article
Possibly premature to be overly bearish wheat, soybeans, corn and rice

Bullish factors could help boost prices for the grains in days ahead.
July 17, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/possibly-premature-be-overly-bearish-wheat-soybeans-corn-and-rice
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-July%2017.pdf

Article
Wheat target of $5.51 per bushel achieved as markets seek direction

While wheat moves to higher target, jury appears to be out on direction of other commodities.
Jul 10, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/wheat/wheat-target-551-bushel-achieved-markets-seek-direction
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market%20price%20considerations%20July%2010.pdf

Article
Grains showing strength, cotton searching for bottom

Soybeans and Corn Building Momentum Rice and Wheat Remain Bullish Cotton Searching for Bottom
Jul 4, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/corn/grains-showing-strength-cotton-searching-bottom
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-July-3-2017.pdf

Coats' Recap on USDA's Acreage Report
USDA estimates 2017 U.S. rice acres down by almost 600,000

Arkansas' acreage drops by nearly 400,000, according to USDA-NASS June 30 acreage report.
Jul 01, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/usda-estimates-2017-us-rice-acres-down-almost-600000
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/2017-acreage-estimates-selected-crops-usda.pdf

Article
Rice, corn bullish; soybeans, cotton searching for bottom

Watch price actions for crops such as cotton because of possibility for slide into 2016 lows.
Jun 26, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/rice-corn-bullish-soybeans-cotton-searching-bottom
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-June-26.pdf

Article
Fed tightening could have impact on commodity markets

This is an important week for cotton. Prices need to hold the 68-cent area or, otherwise, consideration has to be given to revisiting the 2016 low of around 55-cents.
Jun 19, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/fed-tightening-could-have-impact-commodity-markets
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-June-19.pdf

Article
Momentum: Grain prices building; oil prices losing

Fed Open Markets Committee meetings this week could help provide some directions for commodity prices -- or not.
Jun 12, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/market-reports/momentum-grain-prices-building-oil-prices-losing
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-June-12.pdf

Article
Falling interest rates, U.S. equity firmness, commodity index weakness in headlines

Commodity Index has become dangerously weak, and growers should not rule out an additional leg down given sluggish global growth and other factors.
Jun 05, 2017 | ww.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/falling-interest-rates-us-equity-firmness-commodity-index-weakness-headlines
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-June-5.pdf


Article
U.S. rice prices could be headed higher in 2017-18

U.S. and world rice supplies are tightening, leading to the possibility of higher rice prices in 2017-18, economist notes.
May 31, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/us-rice-prices-could-be-headed-higher-2017-18

Article
Commodity Index strengthening

Inability to maintain price momentum in oil markets could result in another leg down to below $45, which could aggravate commodity price weakness..
May 29, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/commodity-index-strengthening
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-May-29.pdf

Article
Uncertainty about U.S. long grain rice acreage supportive of prices

Domestic and global rice fundamentals remain bearish while U.S. acreage decrease may help firm near-term prices.
May 23, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/uncertainty-about-us-long-grain-rice-acreage-supportive-prices
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/World-Rice-Outlook-Slide-Show-May-2017.pdf

Webinar Announcement
Dr. Childs to keynote University of Arkansas Webinar at 2 p.m. Thursday

Drs. Nathan Childs and Jarrod Hardke to speak on outlook for 2017 rice crop prices and production.
May 23, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/dr-childs-keynote-university-arkansas-webinar-2-pm-thursday

Article
Market price considerations for week of May 22

Cotton reaches 84-cent objective forecast in weekly market price considerations; next level not clear yet.
May 22, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/market-price-considerations-week-may-22
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-May-22.pdf

Article
Global reflation efforts – ‘Slowly bearing fruit”

Bullish view of Euro could provide softness for dollar, help for U.S. commodity prices.
May 15, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/market-reports/global-reflation-efforts-slowly-bearing-fruit

Slides
Market-price-considerations-for-week-beginning- May-15

Bullish factors beginning to appear in corn, rice and soybean markets, outside forces could continue to muddy the outlook.
May 14, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/market-price-considerations-week-dec-26
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-May-15-2017.pdf

Article
French elections: Near-term bullish, longer-term bearish

Vote for "status quo" could be bullish for financial and commodity markets in the near-term
May 08, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/french-elections-near-term-bullish-longer-term-bearish

Slides
Market price considerations for week of May 8

Markets pondering next move following defeat of rightist candidate Le Pen in French presidential runoff.
May 07, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/market-reports/market-price-considerations-week-may-8
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-May-8-2017.pdf

Article
Market price considerations for week of May 1

The French presidential elections on May 7 continue to command the commodity markets attention.
May 01, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/market-reports/market-price-considerations-week-may-1
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-Price-Considerations-May-1-2017.pdf

Article
May 7th French presidential runoff and the commodity markets

French presidential runoff shaping up to be major influence on world financial and commodity markets.
May 01, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/may-7th-french-presidential-runoff-and-commodity-markets

Article
Equity markets turning bullish, grain markets basing

French elections continue to dominate economic considerations for EU, financial and commodity markets.
Apr 25, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/market-reports/equity-markets-turning-bullish-grain-markets-basing

Article
Market price considerations for week beginning April 23, 2017

French election could have impact on financial, commodity markets in the week ahead.
Apr 24, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/market-price-considerations-week-beginning-april-23-2017
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-week-of-April-23.pdf

Article
Rice: Global geopolitical uncertainties weigh heavy on prices

It's difficult to justify planting more rice when the demand outlook is so dismal..
Apr 23, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/rice-global-geopolitical-uncertainties-weigh-heavy-prices
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Rice-Outlook-Charts-Bobby-Coats-April-2017.pdf

Article
Grain prices bullish bias; Market Noise Numbing Market Decisions

A number of national and international events are creating "Market Noise" that has the potential to influence market prices in the near-term and impact market responsiveness.
Apr 17, 2017 | ww.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/grain-prices-bullish-bias-market-noise-numbing-market-decisions
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-April-17.pdf

Article
Russian warships in eastern Mediterranean creating market anxiety

Syria crisis just one of several major events that could have impact on financial and commodity markets.
Apr 10, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/russian-warships-eastern-mediterranean-creating-market-anxiety
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price%20considerations-week-of-April-10.pdf

Article
Strengthening foreign equity markets supportive of commodity market complex

U.S. equity markets have been consolidating gains during the first quarter while foreign equity markets have been outperforming U.S. markets
Apr 03, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/strengthening-foreign-equity-markets-supportive-commodity-market-complex
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-April-3.pdf

Article
U.S. equity correction likely underway, weighing on commodity prices

Corrective activity in the equity markets is weighing heavy on commodity markets.
Mar 27, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/us-equity-correction-likely-underway-weighing-commodity-prices
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-for-week-of-March-27.pdf

Article
Fed turns dovish – Supportive of commodity prices

Mar 20, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/fed-turns-dovish-supportive-commodity-prices

Article
Market price considerations for week beginning March 20

Although the Federal Reserve raised its Fed Funds rate, as promised, the markets did not respond as negatively as many feared.
Mar 20, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/market-price-considerations-week-beginning-march-20
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-Bobby-Coats-March-20.pdf

Article
Market price considerations for week beginning March 13

Market participants are trying to protect their gains ahead of the anticipated March 15 interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Mar 13, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/market-price-considerations-week-beginning-march-13
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-March-13.pdf

Article
Reflation trade re-emerging; ‘bullish commodities’

The unexpected Federal Reserve verbal guidance of a likely March 15 rate increase has given many global equity markets a reason to consolidate.
Mar 13, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/reflation-trade-re-emerging-bullish-commodities

Article
Sellers of U.S. long grain rice face strong headwinds

Increased rice supplies could add to burdensome stocks situation for world's foremost food commodity.
Mar 06, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/sellers-us-long-grain-rice-face-strong-headwinds
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/rice-outlook-us-and-world-supply-and-demand-charts

Slides
Rice Outlook U.S. and World Supply and Demand Charts

Plans to increase rice acres should be tempered by consideration of the current market fundamentals.
Mar 06, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/rice/rice-outlook-us-and-world-supply-and-demand-charts
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Rice-article-charts-February-March-2017.pdf

Article
Market Price Considerations for Week of March 6

"Complex price action" could mean more upward moves are ahead for U.S. cotton prices, according to University of Arkansas agricultural economist Bobby Coats.
Mar 06, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/market-price-considerations-week-march-6
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-week-of-March-6.pdf

Article
Markets await Trump’s presidential address

Verbal guidance from the Federal Reserve Board is creating market uncertainty ahead of tomorrow night's presidential address.
Feb 27, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/market-reports/markets-await-trump-s-presidential-address

Article
Market price considerations for week of Feb. 27

The commodity markets could see more uncertainty than normal due to verbal guidance released by the Federal Reserve. .
Feb 27, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/corn/market-price-considerations-week-feb-27
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-Feb-27.pdf

Article
Market price considerations for week beginning Feb. 20

The remarks and written testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen to congressional committees created market uncertainty>
Feb 20, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/market-price-considerations-week-beginning-feb-20
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Bobby-Coats-Market-Price-Considerations-February-20.pdf

Article
Global economic upturn underway – Positive for global equity and commodity markets

An analysis of commodity price charts indicates cotton could rise to the 84-cent area, but a close below 68 cents could mean corrective action is underway.
Feb 09, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/cotton/global-economic-upturn-underway-positive-global-equity-and-commodity-markets

Slides
Market price considerations for the week of Feb. 6, 2017

Cotton prices could move to mid-80s according to weekly price charts compiled by University of Arkansas' Dr. Bobby Coats. .
Feb 09, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/market-price-considerations-week-feb-6-2017
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Bobby-Coats-Weekly-Price-Charts-February-9.pdf

Article
Global equities respond favorably; commodity markets mixed

Global equity and commodity markets respond favorably to initial blast of directives from new administration and Congress.
Feb 03, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/global-equities-respond-favorably-commodity-markets-mixed
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-price-considerations-for-Jan-30.pdf

Article
Trumponomics: Markets anticipating presidential leadership

Regaining economic momentum will be the first challenge the new administration faces along with other world leaders.
Jan 23, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/trumponomics-markets-anticipating-presidential-leadership
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-Price-Considerations-January-23.pdf

Article
Mr. Trump goes To Washington: Market price considerations for the week of Jan. 16.

Beginning of new administration, Congress could lead to interesting commodity market developments.
Jan 17, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/mr-trump-goes-washington-market-price-considerations-week-jan-16
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Market-Consideration-Charts-week-January-16.pdf

Article
Green shoots of global reflation emerging

From a “Big Picture Perspective” the week-of Jan. 2, 2017 showed green-shoot signs of building global inflation and thus a continuation of an orderly movement away from dangerous deflationary forces.
Jan 12, 2017 | http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/green-shoots-global-reflation-emerging
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/Bobby-Coats-Farm-Press-Jan-9-Slide-Show.pdf

Article
Market Price Considerations for the Week Beginning January 2, 2017

Markets covered: Rice, Cotton, Soybeans, Corn, and Wheat; Select U.S. and Global Equities; Dollar; Oil; and 10-year Treasury Yield
Jan 03, 2017 http://www.deltafarmpress.com/marketing/market-price-considerations-week-beginning-january-2-2017
Slides: http://www.deltafarmpress.com/sites/deltafarmpress.com/files/170102-Coats-Article-Slide-Show.pdf

 

Dr. Coats' Economic Blog - 2016